Standard Unleaded · E10
Confidence LOW
Either way
the market is quiet.
No strong signal either way. Brent down 1.3% today. Sterling down 0.55% vs USD.
The forecast · Issue 20 Jul
Fill now,
or wait.
Six signals reconciled into a single decision, recomputed every six hours. Accuracy over the last ninety days: 58 percent across 26 scored predictions. Today's model is running on 75% signal coverage — one or more feeds haven't reported yet, so confidence is capped accordingly.
Either way
Diesel · B7
Confidence LOW
Either way
the market is quiet.
No strong signal either way. Brent down 1.3% today. Sterling down 0.55% vs USD.
Chapter IV · the instruments
Six signals, weighed.
●
Wholesale trend
7-day moving average of gasoline and diesel rack prices.
30%
●
Brent crude
Daily change in the Brent benchmark.
15%
●
GBP / USD
A softer pound makes imported crude more expensive.
15%
●
Day of week
Tuesdays run cheap; weekends run dear.
10%
●
Retailer lag
The gap between a wholesale drop and the pump catching up.
15%
●
Regional momentum
This region's trajectory against the national average.
15%
If you’d rather just compare prices now